Advantage Finally Goes to the Sellers in the Stock Market

The primary upward trend in the S&P 500 finally ended, and the advantage in trading finally goes to the sellers for the first time since August, 2010. For me, technically, the upward trend ended with the flattening of the 20DMA. I noted this important change yesterday. The confirmation of the end came today with the … Read more

Stock Market Wobbles But Remains Unbroken

The stock market has churned and gone nowhere for 10 trading days, a distinct break in the steady drip upward that saw traders, investors, and even trading-bots seizing upon nearly every dip as a buying opportunity. For six months a very basic equation has dominated: printing money = higher stock prices. For now, a conditional … Read more

A Picture-Perfect Bounce but Risks to the Uptrend Increase

The stock market printed a timely and picture-perfect bounce on Friday. Ahead of the rally, I presented the relatively strong case for the bulls based on the previous 3-day pullback. By closing above Wednesday’s high of 1318, the S&P 500 is also poised to continue its gains. However, looking beyond this bounce from support, the … Read more

Setting Up for Another First of Month Pop…or A Bull Trap?

Buyers are again lifting the stock market from its intra-day lows and providing some potential clues on where to draw the bull/bear lines from a technical perspective. The case for a bullish setup is relatively strong: Three days of high volume selling is washing out sellers. 50-day moving average (DMA) essentially successfully retested, leaving primary … Read more

Overbought Matters for At Least A Day

For one day at least, sellers converged with stock market technicals to deliver a large one-day drop in the S&P 500. As it turned out, the three-month highs in T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs), did matter after all. T2108 plunged along with the stock market for its worst … Read more