ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Why streaking silver now seems shaky – precious metals – Bill Fleckenstein Yes, silver could double over the next couple of years, but it is quite possible for it to drop 20% in a short stretch along the way and have that be nothing but noise. With silver, even more so than gold, it pays … Read more
What has changed in the two months it took for silver to stampede its way up $15 (a 43% gain) and back? Did the Federal Reserve raise rates? Did the Federal Reserve threaten the market with rate hikes? Did the housing market rebound sharply, generating an expectation for higher rates? Did inflation expectations adjust sharply? … Read more
Today, Pan American Silver Corporation (PAAS) issued a press release confirming my earlier assumption that its mining operations in Bolivia would not be impacted by the Bolivian government’s efforts to further nationalize its resource industries (see “Despair Deep in the Silver Mines: Another Opportunity to Buy Pan American Silver“). “On May 1, Bolivian President Evo … Read more
Buyers Beware: Silver Crashed 11% in 24 Hours – CNBC Shortly after the start of overnight trading at 12:10 a.m. on Monday, silver futures surged to a multi-year high of $49.82 per ounce. Nine hours later, by the start of stock market trading in the U.S., the May Silver contract was down eight percent. Shortly … Read more
Excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece (embedded video only here): Five years ago, I wrote an article titled “Despair Deep In the Silver Mines” to describe the sympathy selling in silver miners that owned property in Bolivia after the government there declared it would nationalize … Read more
Tuesday’s expected gap down and steady buyback created a LOT of amazing charts. Many stocks I have reviewed bounced with picture-perfect accuracy off key support levels like 50DMAs and 200DMAs. The chart of the dollar index also caught my attention (as it so often does). For the past two days, the U.S. dollar has clung … Read more
The number $50 per ounce appeared in another discussion about silver. I first came across this target in James Turk’s theory about three stages for silver’s bull market with stage 2 beginning at $50. This time $50/ounce came up in an interview with Silver Wheaton’s CEO, Peter Barnes, as he discussed SLW’s earnings results on … Read more
Silver finally hit fresh highs on Thursday, and I am now forced to pull out “Plan B” on re-establishing a position in the precious metal. I had expected the “cooling off” period to end with a retest of the 200-day moving average (DMA) and an opportunity to scale back into silver at my own, leisurely … Read more
I did not think the dollar would test the critical multi-year support line this soon. I thought the prospects for an economic recovery that is looking stronger than in competing developed economies would be sufficient to give the dollar a helping hand up despite the Federal Reserve’s best attempts to keep grinding the currency into … Read more
The “cooling off” of silver and gold has unfolded very slowly over several months. On Thursday, this process entered yet another phase. This time, silver made a clean and strong break below its 50-day moving average (DMA). Silver even made its first lower low since the latest rally began in late summer. Gold has spent … Read more