The Pound Receives Some Relief As the UK PM Faces Brexit Constraints

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) It looks like UK Prime Minister Theresa May will not be able to proceed with Brexit plans, hard or not, unchecked by other powers in the UK. The UK Parliament demanded … Read more

Gold Tops Out As Odds of Next Rate Hike Point Again to 2016

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 21, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The post-Brexit run-up in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ended today. Source: FreeStockCharts.com The entire post-Brexit gap could easily fill if current momentum in other gold-related indicators continues. {snip} Source: CME … Read more

From the United Kingdom’s Biggest Stocks: Thank You, Brexit

The vote by the United Kingdom (UK) to leave the European Union (EU), aka Brexit, kicked off a series of market events that collectively seem very surreal. First, there was the global rally in financial markets going into the vote. Relieved market participants appeared to anticipate a victory by the Remain side. Next came two … Read more

Brexit Helps Invalidate A Blow-Off Top for Gold

+500% spike in searches for "buy gold" in the past four hourshttps://t.co/pmMsRUcAwK — GoogleTrends (@GoogleTrends) June 24, 2016 Regular readers know that Google Trends has become my favorite sentiment indicator for assessing gold at the extremes. So I hopped up when I heard about the above tweet on the latest podcast of “Slate Money.” (That … Read more

T2108 Update (June 23, 2016) – At the Very Edge of Overbought, Brexit and Awe

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 22, 2016) – Fear Indicators Diverge On Brexit Eve

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity

At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in … Read more

The Gold Top Watch Continues With A Confirmation and A Caveat

Two days ago I defined and described the case for a blow-off top in SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). Speculators have provided a confirmation of a top, yet there is now a caveat based on GLD’s ability to comeback a bit on Friday (June 17th). After pulling back the reins for three weeks on net longs … Read more

Brexit Anxieties Soar to New Highs

Earlier this month, I used Google Trends to demonstrate that the currency market lagged a key shift in Brexit sentiment. Just 10 days later, interest (aka anxiety?) in Brexit, the prospect of a UK exit from the European Union (EU), has scaled new heights while the British pound (FXB) has hit new lows for the … Read more