T2108 Update (June 5, 2014) – Back to the Edge of Overbought and A Suspension of Disbelief

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Chart Review: The Power of 50 – Carving Out A Large Swath Of Key Pivots?

Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches … Read more

The Australian Dollar Emerges A Big Winner from U.S. Fiscal Fiddling

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) must be getting a bit antsy at this point. After working hard to drive the Australian dollar (FXA) downward in an on-going effort to rebalance … Read more

Australian Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends With the Latest RBA Meeting Minutes

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It was fun while it lasted. The anticipated relief rally in the Australian dollar (FXA) seems to have ended in parallel with the release of the meeting minutes from the last … Read more

Relief Rally Underway for the Australian Dollar – Just Barely

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 8, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The move has occurred in fits and starts, but the relief rally I anticipated for the Australian dollar (FXA) appears to be underway. The latest decision on monetary policy from the … Read more