ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
The NASDAQ has churned mightily in an uptrend that is slowly but surely grinding upward from the June lows. Support at the 200DMA held in June and now the technology-laden index is working on holding support at the 50DMA. Embedded in this churning action are lots of chills and thrills. Two big cap tech stocks … Read more
Anytime after the March, 2009 lows, if you had asked me which stock or stocks would break those lows within the next three years, Cisco (CSCO) would have been one of the furthest names from my mind. And yet, Tuesday (Aug 9), CSCO closed just 2% above its closing and intraday March, 2009 low. When … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, briefing.com reported that rumors hit the trading floors that Cisco (CSCO) might make a buyout offer for Research In Motion (RIMM). The rumor was good for a brief 2-hour or so pop before the … Read more
When I made the case for buying CSCO after its earnings disaster in November, I was bracing myself for an extended stay at or near 52-week lows. I even planned to add more on a steep enough decline. After two weeks of slowly drifting downward, CSCO made a bottom. The stock is now climbing out … Read more
The shorts in Cisco (CSCO) had it right after all…even if they were a bit early. Short interest in CSCO surged in late August close to 52-week highs. When I noticed this in mid-September, I made a somewhat complicated case for using this as a contrarian signal to go long the stock. CSCO trickled upward … Read more
Short interest in Cisco (CSCO) surged near 52-week highs at the end of August. At the time I noted this move, CSCO had bounced off its 52-week lows, and I suggested it would be a long if it could set a fresh high on the month. CSCO accomplished that move later in the day. I … Read more
For the two weeks ending August 31, short interest in Cisco (CSCO) surged 26% to 52.4 million shares (only 0.7% of float). This is close to the current 52-week high set on March 15. Over the past year, there were only two other periods that matched this recent surge in percentage terms: short interest increased … Read more
On November 5, Research In Motion (RIMM) announced a buyback of up to $1.2B in shares starting November 9 and lasting for up to a year. When I read this announcement, I pounced on the stock the minute pre-market trading opened. This was quite a mental exercise for me because I had just closed out … Read more