ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
I earlier claimed that market breadth would only push higher with the participation of small cap stocks. Well the big moment of truth already arrived as the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) punched through its bear market line for the third time in 11 months. With the S&P 500 (SPY) and the NASDAQ (COMPQ) relentlessly … Read more
When Cathie Wood anticipated a “doozie of a correction” in early 2021, she surely did not expect a complete collapse in the mania and bubble she had enjoyed during the first year of the pandemic. However, the cash machine betting on the downtrend in the ARK Funds may finally stop operations soon. Last week, one … Read more
“I understand that you do address issues of valuations through macroprudential policies in the first instance. But there’s a range of assets, and I know you do watch a range of assets. But from Bitcoin to corporate bonds to the stock market in general, to some of these morespecific meteoric rises in stocks like GameStop. … Read more
Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University co-create a “buy versus rent” scoring system called the Beracha, Hardin & Johnson Buy vs. Rent (BH&J) Index. Last month, this index crossed a critical threshold for the first time since 2010: U.S. households are once again better off renting than buying. This cross-over provides further confirmation of … Read more
Ivory Johnson: Why Gold Is Not a Bubble — CNBC Guest Blog The chorus of anti-gold rabble-rousers find themselves in some type of losing streak. Experts have predicted the demise of gold for roughly four years now, a period when gold has outperformed the S&P 500 by over 125 percent. Missing the first leg of … Read more
Fewer verbs and nouns in financial reporting could predict stock market bubble, study shows When the language used by financial analysts and reporters becomes increasingly similar the stock market may be overheated, say scientists. (tags: bubbles stock_market trading_strategy)
Gretchen Morgenson and Josh Rosner wrote Reckless Endangerment: How Outsized Ambition, Greed, and Corruption Led to Economic Armageddon to describe how the recovery from the financial panic and recession have resolved little and have left the economy at tremendous risk for an even larger crisis. Aaron Task interviews the authors on Yahoo! Finance’s Daily Ticker. … Read more
China’s sugar rush may be ending | James Saft China is an economy addicted to investment, a sort of fun house mirror of the U.S.’s addiction to consumption, with an astounding 93 percent of GDP growth in 2009 attributable to investment. That’s a strategy that worked well for years, but China’s response to the global … Read more
If an asset bubble is characterized by accelerating euphoria as asset prices rise ever higher, gold is still not in a bubble. The skepticism directed towards gold continues to rise along with its price despite gold marking all-time highs the past two months. I decided to do a refresh of last year’s sentiment analysis on … Read more
(repost from January 4, 2010) Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association in Atlanta, Georgia. In his speech titled “Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble,” Bernanke presented statistical (econometric) analyses to demonstrate that monetary policy contributed very little to the recent housing bubble in the U.S. … Read more