ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Bitcoin versus the U.S. dollar (older tag)
Nothing like a good sell-off to kindle interest. Until November 14th, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) held a floor between 5750 and 6000 for the entire year, whether on an intraday or “closing” basis. After that threshold broke down, sellers overwhelmed buyers to the tune of new 52-week lows. The cryptocurrency now sits at a 13+ month low, … Read more
AT40 = 29.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 21.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage in the stock market continues to spread as the countdown to “hedge fund d-day” nears an end. AT40 (T2108), … Read more
GDPR, the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation, rolls into effect starting May 25th. Expectedly, there is a flurry of media attention on this topic. One meme spreading quickly compares Google Trend searches for GDPR to pop music icon and diva Beyoncé. It turns out that GDPR is now so popular that it surpassed Beyoncé … Read more
In my last post on Bitcoin (BTC-USD), I worried about the sustainability of the $6000 bottom. I am now even more worried. Google Search interest continues to wane on Bitcoin. Ever since December and the major top under $20,000, search interest in “Bitcoin” has trended downward with spikes in search activity also trending lower. Source: … Read more
NOW this is getting really interesting. I am still in learning mode on cryptocurrencies. Every twist and turn is like a new flower patch around the bend. When I last wrote about the price patterns in Bitcoin a week and a half ago, I gave a qualified call for a bottom in the price of … Read more
“I will be watching for signs of the durability of this latest Bitcoin bottom. If search interest wanes quickly, I will expect the recovery phase to fizzle relatively quickly like last time. If search interest remains robust, I will accordingly expect the recovery period to last longer.” This is what I wrote on January 18, … Read more
While Bitcoin (BTC) holds its recent low confirmed by a jump in Google search activity, I decided to look to see whether Google Trends correlated with another cryptocurrency. Stellar is a relatively new entrant on the scene. The cryptocurrency made a big splash at the beginning of the year by rocketing into the top 10 … Read more
The trading volatility in Bitcoin (BTC) is delivering a healthy number of extremes. These accumulating extremes are helping me build associations between Bitcoin price action and Google search interest in the cryptocurrency. The latest round of extremes delivered some eye-opening associations which could help traders in the near future. This week, on January 15th, Bitcoin … Read more
At the time of writing, Bitcoin (BTC) just experienced another large one-day loss…currently around 10%. Source: Yahoo Finance A week ago, sellers panicked and sent Bitcoin careening toward $10,000 as an orderly pullback from all-time highs suddenly became chaotic. Buyers quickly moved in and the cryptocurrency stabilized. Until last week’s low gets violated, I am … Read more
Buy the crash. Sell the all-time high. Rinse. Repeat. This has been a time-honored trading strategy for Bitcoin that, in hindsight, has offered a very low-risk way of profiting form the manic rise of Bitcoin. Today, the famed cryptocurrency was down as much as 30% before bouncing back with a furious rally. The trading strategy … Read more