Another Key Bullish Divergence Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide fascinating, and profitable, examples of its strong relationship with the S&P 500 (SPY). {snip} On July 23rd, another big sell-off day, the Australian dollar … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2012) – Overbought Period Ends But June Uptrend Holds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 59.9% (ends last overbought … Read more

T2108 Update (July 20, 2012) – Rejected From A Breakout

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 70.9% (6th overbought day) … Read more

Australian Dollar On the Verge Of Another Breakout

The trading action in forex is starting to pick up again with quickly changing setups. Of the many twists, the Australian dollar (FXA) continues to capture a lot of my attention. Currently, the Aussie looks ready to break out against the U.S. dollar. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD is now positive again for the year, and, at … Read more

How Divergences Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500 Can Signal Trades

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 8, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have written several articles now discussing the dynamics of the Australian dollar as well as its correlation with the S&P 500 (SPY). At the end of May, I wrote “Correlations … Read more

Australian Dollar Confirms Stock Rally As It Re-Emerges As A Leading ‘Risk-On’ Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar’s year-to-date performance against the U.S. dollar (FXA) is back to even. The leading “risk-on” currency has fought back from a large one month slide that featured losses of … Read more

Remaining Bearish On Australian Dollar As The RBA Braces For More Financial Turmoil

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In keeping interest rates at 3.50%, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issued a relatively mundane statement on monetary policy on July 3rd. This statement contained many of the same themes … Read more

The Dollar’s Tumble Accompanies A Host of Critical Currency and Commodity Trades

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Thanks largely to the surging euro, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) took one of its nastiest one-day tumbles since last October, falling 1.3%. I believe this drop all but confirms staunch … Read more

T2108 Update (June 21, 2012) – Caution Prevails Yet Again As Churn Returns

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 34.9% VIX Status: 20.1 … Read more

The Japanese Yen Flashes Another Warning Even As the Australian Dollar and S&P 500 Resynch

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I was looking for confirmation of the increasingly bullish outlook, but I did not get it. In “Bearish Implications of A Rare Convergence of Extremes in Yen vs S&P 500 … Read more