The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Fail At Important 2015 Milestones

To start this week, I pointed out that the U.S. dollar index (UUP) and the British pound (FXB) had tagged important milestones for this year. The U.S. dollar index finally rallied back to the downtrend line established from its multi-year high set in March. The British pound finally cracked the 0.70 support level against the … Read more

Insurance Policies for Financial Stability: the UK Tightens Housing Policies and Further Tunes Its Warnings

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) “Historically low levels of interest rates globally and the current backdrop of low volatility across financial markets may encourage market participants to underestimate the likelihood and severity of tail risks. There … Read more

Why the Pound Failed to Rally After the Scots Said No to Independence

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The people have spoken…and so apparently have the markets. The people of Scotland voted firmly in favor staying within the United Kingdom. In response, the British pound (FXB) sank sharply, defying … Read more

Forex Positioning Update: Short Euro, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, Long Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) There was a lot of action last week in the foreign exchange market. This piece is a quick update on how I have adjusted and/or maintained positioning in select currencies: the … Read more

United Kingdom Manufacturing PMI Should Bookend the Decline in the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 1, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The British pound (FXB) has experienced a steep and near continuous decline ever since it hit new multi-year highs in July against the U.S. dollar. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com After a strong … Read more