Above the 40 (June 9, 2017) – A Surprisingly Bullish Rotation Out of Tech Stocks

AT40 = 58.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.7 (volatility index) (intraday high of 12.11) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It seemed poetic. The Golden State Warriors, hailing from the tech heavy San Francisco Bay … Read more

Above the 40 (June 2, 2017) – Breadth Returns to the Stock Market…Just In Time

AT40 = 55.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.8 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary In my last Above the 40 post, I noted how the trading action made it hard for me to … Read more

Housing Market Review – A Strong and Optimistic Market Awaits the Next Fed Meeting (May, 2017)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in April, 2017 for March, 2017. At that time, the iShares US Home Construction (ITB) was at the high end of almost two months of churn which included a new 10-year high. ITB has not hit “escape velocity” from its price where the U.S. Federal Reserve last … Read more

IHS Markit Jumps On News It Will Join the S&P 500 Index

Sometimes an uptrend tells traders everything they need to know. On May 22, 2017, I reviewed the results from my scan for stocks with relative strength during times of weakness in the S&P 500 (SPY). I lamented how last week’s flash of selling did not provide any good buying opportunities. So I indicated my plan … Read more

Forex Critical: Speculators Retreat from the Australian Dollar and Pound, Expand on the Euro and Canadian Dollar

The latest CFTC data on the Commitments of Traders (CoT) shows some important moves in the positioning of speculators. Australian dollar (FXA) While the price of iron ore plunged, bullishness on the Australian dollar (FXA) remained surprisingly strong. I am almost equally surprised to see this bullishness now in full scale retreat as iron ore … Read more