ATM: The Apple Trading Model Refined

For over two months, I have gained some valuable experience and lessons putting the formalized Apple Trading Model (ATM) into practice. I have experienced two main challenges: 1) balancing the sometimes conflicting messages of the ATM when using different amounts of historical data, and 2) plain old execution. For challenge #1, I have concluded that … Read more

T2108 Update (September 6, 2013) – A Market That Still Wants to Go Up

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

Chart Review: Amazon.com Triggers Post-Earnings Short, Freeport Hits QE2 Price, Cliffs Hits 200DMA

Amazon.com (AMZN) The day after Amazon.com (AMZN) reported earnings, it soared in typical fashion after faking out traders with a lower print. I was able to once again execute the post-earnings AMZN trade successfully. It has been all downhill for AMZN since then. On Tuesday (August 13) the stock finally closed below the intraday low … Read more

T2108 Update (July 31, 2013) – Potential Consolidation As the S&P 500 Waits Out Growing Negatives

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Herbalife On the Edge of Breakout As Short Squeeze Still Awaits

Harbalife (HLF) is on the verge of a major breakout. The stock gained another 2.5% on Friday to close at $55.80, just below the intraday high from July 31, 2012. The charts below show over a year’s worth of trading. The next chart zooms in a little so that you can read the notes I … Read more