ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
What has changed in the two months it took for silver to stampede its way up $15 (a 43% gain) and back? Did the Federal Reserve raise rates? Did the Federal Reserve threaten the market with rate hikes? Did the housing market rebound sharply, generating an expectation for higher rates? Did inflation expectations adjust sharply? … Read more
I thought TBT’s (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury) successful test of the 200-day moving average (DMA) back in March would mark the beginning of a fresh extended run higher. Instead, the declining 50DMA marked the true short-term trend, and, for the second time in a month, TBT failed to break that resistance. At the end … Read more
Today, Pan American Silver Corporation (PAAS) issued a press release confirming my earlier assumption that its mining operations in Bolivia would not be impacted by the Bolivian government’s efforts to further nationalize its resource industries (see “Despair Deep in the Silver Mines: Another Opportunity to Buy Pan American Silver“). “On May 1, Bolivian President Evo … Read more
Famous short-seller Dick Chanos visited the CNBC set on April 14 and talked about his expanding list of targets that includes alternative energy, especially First Solar (FSLR). In response, the stock dropped 2.7% that day and did not stabilize until the stock lost almost 10% over the course of a week. Directly ahead of another … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) After listening to Research In Motion’s conference call explaining the company’s downward guidance Thursday night, I thought I would write a piece just as bullish as management’s insistence that longer-term upside prospects remain unchanged. However, writing … Read more