A Reluctant Return to Overbought Trading Conditions – The Market Breadth

reluctant (Credit: Reluctant Goose by judy_and_ed on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The holiday-shortened week brought a reluctant return to overbought trading conditions. Buyers nudged the indices higher inch by inch after Monday’s slightly down open. The Fed-speak that returned the stock market to bearish trading conditions faded out of view. Looking ahead, the promise of seasonal strength once again beckons reluctant buyers. If … Read more

From Distraught to Overbought In A Flash – The Market Breadth

distraught to overbought (Credit: Shopping cart at Weis by SchuminWeb from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The latest cryptocurrency scandal and implosion distracted the market (and me) from the upside potential of the October CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. Likely contagion, real and psychological, from crashing crypto prices helped drive distraught trading that created technical breakdowns across the major indices. U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday also apparently failed … Read more

Did the Bear Market Warm Up For A Comeback? – The Market Breadth

Did the Bear Market Warm Up For A Comeback? (Credit: Bear Stretches by aaaceto)

Stock Market Commentary: Now I see why there was so little fanfare about the end of the bear market. Last week’s trading looks like a warm-up for a bear market comeback. The S&P 500 and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) printed bearish confirmations of resistance at their respective 200-day moving averages (DMAs) (the blue … Read more

The Bear Market Ended With A Bullish Counter – The Market Breadth

bear market ended: sleeping bear

Stock Market Commentary: The bear market ended with a bullish counter, yet I noticed no celebratory or indicative headlines on CNBC. CNBC’s Fast Money included technical discussions but gave no reference to what I consider to be two major technical developments. The NASDAQ closed above its bear market line and joined the S&P 500 and … Read more

Inflation Readout Drives A Fakeout and Ends One Bear Market – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market threw a big fakeout, the biggest I have seen in a long time. Just yesterday, a synchronized failure at key resistance levels from the major indices combined with a drop from overbought conditions to convince me to get (cautiously) bearish on the stock market. The read on July CPI … Read more