At 15-Month Highs, Dynex Further Confirms Bullish Bias Towards Housing Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 9, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Five months ago, I recommended Dynex (DX) as another play on a housing recovery (and bottom for 2013). The rationale was relatively straightforward: {snip} Since then, DX has managed to tack … Read more

Chart Review: Australian Dollar Reaches for A Breakout

On Friday, the Australian dollar (FXA) enjoyed continued strength as financial markets rallied strongly into the close ahead of Sunday’s potential turmoil with Greek elections. Just two days ago, I wrote that I switched back to a bearish stance on AUD/USD after it reached my relief rally target of parity. I also said that “I … Read more

Chart Review: TBT’s Bottom Already In Jeopardy

Almost a month ago I made another case for a bottom in TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury. The related breakout include some large, upward one-day moves. The churn included a convincingly successful retest of presumed support at the upper channel that formed the consolidation pattern for TBT’s bottom. Alas, that was not enough … Read more

TBT Successfully Retests Support From Breakout

A little over two weeks ago I pointed out that it looked like TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20-Year Treasury, had finally bottomed. TBT broke out from an extended consolidation pattern that is the classic hallmark of a sustainable bottom. On Friday, TBT surged 3.3% after having erased all the gains from the breakout. TBT made … Read more

T2108 Update – March 26, 2012 (All Systems Go On the Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 62% VIX Status: 14.3% … Read more