T2108 Update – June 6, 2011 (Market “Oversold”)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 30% and Neutral (oversold territory relative to behavior over past two years). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory … Read more

Even Buyout Rumors Cannot Help RIM

(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, briefing.com reported that rumors hit the trading floors that Cisco (CSCO) might make a buyout offer for Research In Motion (RIMM). The rumor was good for a brief 2-hour or so pop before the … Read more

Searching for A Corral for the Silver Stampede

What has changed in the two months it took for silver to stampede its way up $15 (a 43% gain) and back? Did the Federal Reserve raise rates? Did the Federal Reserve threaten the market with rate hikes? Did the housing market rebound sharply, generating an expectation for higher rates? Did inflation expectations adjust sharply? … Read more

TBT Finally Breaks Down, TIP Continues to Grind Upward

I thought TBT’s (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury) successful test of the 200-day moving average (DMA) back in March would mark the beginning of a fresh extended run higher. Instead, the declining 50DMA marked the true short-term trend, and, for the second time in a month, TBT failed to break that resistance. At the end … Read more

RIM Warns, Management Holds Firm, and Market Continues to Lose Confidence

(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) After listening to Research In Motion’s conference call explaining the company’s downward guidance Thursday night, I thought I would write a piece just as bullish as management’s insistence that longer-term upside prospects remain unchanged. However, writing … Read more