T2108 Update (March 28, 2013) – Finally A New All-Time High (But Where’s the Champagne?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Australian Dollar, British Pound and Siemens Emerge Stronger Post-Cyprus

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 24, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The reaction to the Cyprus news was swift in financial markets starting with currency markets on that Sunday. By the end of the week, the S&P 500 (SPY) remained down … Read more

Cyprus: Low Volatility and Risky Plans

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} While it is still far from clear that the risky bailout plan for Cyprus will pass the country’s legislative body – a vote that was scheduled for Sunday has been … Read more

A Stealth Rally for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a record low on the GBP/USD currency pair [British pound (FXB) versus the Australian dollar (FXA)] for me to realize that the Australian dollar has been in “stealth rally” … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Holds Rates, Leaving Currency To Drift Lower

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 4, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In its latest statement on monetary policy, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) said nothing new. The RBA left rates unchanged at 3% while at the same time making it clear … Read more