T2108 Update (April 30, 2013): Almost Overbought (includes chart reviews for Apple and Amazon)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Bullish Earnings Trading Patterns and Sentiment Collide With Apple’s Recent Downtrend

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 22, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is that time of year: the next earnings report from Apple (AAPL). {snip} As Aaron Task says in the intro of today’s Daily Ticker – “Bracing for Disaster: How Bad … Read more

The Amazon.com Post-Earnings Trade Quickly Turns Bearish

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Another Amazon.com (AMZN) earnings call, more unimpressive guidance (this time, Q1 guidance for $15.0 to 16.6B revenue below expectations and for operating income -$285 to 65M around expectations), an immediate … Read more

The Technicals Of Apple Earnings: A Coiled Spring Or A Stalemate?

It is time for Apple (AAPL) earnings again, but this time around I did not have a chance to update my price-based analysis. Last time around (October 25, 2012), AAPL dropped a mere 0.9% post-earnings after bouncing off the 200DMA for the first re-test since November, 2011. The stock eventually proceeded to continue a strong … Read more

Homebuilder 2013 Pricing Outlook Remains Murky Even As The “McMansion” Lives On

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, December 28, 2012, Nightly Business Report interviewed Martin Connor, the CFO of luxury homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL). I am on the lookout for 2013 guidance from homebuilders, so this … Read more