ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Adobe Systems, Inc. (ADBE) was punished on Wednesday for an earnings report that produced guidance slightly below analyst expectations. The stock dropped as much as 26% after ADBE guided Q4 earnings to $0.48-0.54 EPS vs. $0.53 analyst consensus and Q4 revenues $950M to $1.0B vs. $1.03B analyst consensus (from briefing.com). The severity of the sell-off … Read more
Research In Motion (RIMM) is clearly serious about putting its cash to work. On June 24th, RIMM announced it was doubling down on its recently completed stock repurchase program by adding another 31 million share allotment. In last week’s earnings report, RIMM indicated that it essentially went all in spending a whopping $1.53 billion on … Read more
I wrote earlier about a “stealth” rally in solar stocks featuring ReneSola (SOL), Solarfun Power Holdings Co Ltd (SOLF), LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK), Trina Solar Ltd (TSL), and First Solar (FSLR). In all the excitement, I managed to neglected (at least?) two other stocks publicly traded in the U.S. that are in the green … Read more
We finally got the news on INTC that the market appears to have long anticipated. This morning, Intel (INTC) lowered revenue and margin guidance. Revenue guidance is now “…$11.0 billion, plus or minus $200 million, compared to the previous expectation of between $11.2 and $12.0 billion.” Margin guidance is “…now 66 percent, plus or minus … Read more
This is a quick post demonstrating two stocks recovering from post-earnings losses, that is, filling post-earnings gaps down. Netflix (NFLX) surged 7% on Friday on strong buying volume, smashing through resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA), and filling a gap created from post-earnings disappointment. Not wishing to press my luck further, I sold my … Read more
As expected, First Solar’s earnings last week did not print any big surprises. Read a brief summary provided by earth2tech or flip through the earnings presentation for more details. The mixed results provided no clear trading catalyst, putting key technical levels in play that I was looking to trade. Support at the 200-day moving average … Read more
Earlier, I noted that Intel’s stock looked ominous given so many stocks were making bullish post-earnings reversals. On Friday, Intel (INTC) finally gave up the rest of its impressive post-earnings gains. On a day in which the market staged a relatively impressive comeback from initial selling (the NASDAQ closed marginally UP), INTC closed on its … Read more
First Solar (FSLR) reports earnings this evening. Unlike the last two rounds, I have no strong feelings about the potential upward or downward moves this time around. I went neutral on FSLR after closing out positions on the great post-earnings pop in April, and I have not done much else since then with the stock … Read more
With tongue reaching for the cheek last week, I declared the market both extremely undervalued and very overvalued, guessing that “as earnings season grinds on, I suspect the near-predictable pattern of post-earnings fades will finally wear thin, giving way to more bullish behavior.” I did not expect the turn to happen so clearly and dramatically … Read more
I spoke a day to soon on the bearish downtrend on XLI, the SPDRs Select Sector Industrial ETF. A healthy 3% one-day gain sent the ETF hurtling over resistance and into breakout territory. The next line of resistance is the June high or the “left shoulder” formed in late May/early June, depending on your perspective. … Read more