San Juan Basin’s Plunge to Historic Lows Looks Like An Opportunity for the Patient

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In several past pieces on natural gas this year (for example, “Exports Of Liquefied Natural Gas Add To Evidence Of Bottoming Natural Gas Prices“), I have offered San Juan Basin Royalty … Read more

Lessons From the Successful Trade on Joy Global’s Earnings: The Importance of Context

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Tuesday, May 29, I described a trade on Joy Global (JOY) earnings featuring a bullish bias with a hedge. {snip} JOY ended up disappointing investors… {snip}… Investors and traders clearly … Read more

Play Joy Global Earnings For Upside…With A Hedge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} JOY reports earnings on the morning of May 31st with its stock struggling to stay above 2011 lows. The weekly chart shows how for a second time JOY has lost … Read more

As Gold and Silver Reawaken, It Is Time to Buy Cheap Miners like Pan American Silver

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Gold and silver have languished since reaching their last peaks in 2011. {snip} Last week, gold and silver reawakened and made sharp reversals. {snip} Note that the dollar’s resurgence since hitting … Read more

BHP’s Price Warning Brings the Commodity Crash Playbook Back In Focus

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 20, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) BHP Billiton (BHP) Chairman Jacques Nasser raised eyebrows in a discussion with reporters on Wednesday, May 16th when he indicated that commodity prices are likely to keep falling for now: “The … Read more