With the Endgame Known, Options Trading in Herbalife Provides Even More Insight

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So it turns out that Bill Ackman, with his hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, is the “big whale” behind the massive short position built against Herbalife (HLF). Ackman indicated that … Read more

T2108 Update (January 4, 2013) – Pushing On More Extremes In the Wake Of Record Volume On VIX Futures

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Loss in Patent Case Turns Marvell Technology Into Dead Money

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Note to self: next time when analyzing a stock in a downtrend as a potential value play, check for major pending litigation. {snip}…investors got an awful belated Christmas gift in the … Read more

Marvell Technology Continues Fighting Its Downtrend By Increasing Stock Repurchases

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For over two years, Marvell Technology Group Ltd (MRVL) has repurchased a LOT of shares. {snip} Indeed, even after spending $2.1B repurchasing shares, MRVL still has $2B sitting on the balance … Read more

Over the Fiscal Cliff Lies Opportunity Valley: Saic, Inc.

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the summer of 2011, I started a series called the “Commodity Crash Playbook” designed to take advantage of the bargains created from what, at that time, seemed to be a … Read more