ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Ben S. Bernanke – What the Fed did and why: supporting the recovery and sustaining price stability While they have been used successfully in the United States and elsewhere, purchases of longer-term securities are a less familiar monetary policy tool than cutting short-term interest rates. That is one reason the FOMC has been cautious, balancing … Read more
Integrated solar manufacturer ReneSola Ltd. (SOL) reported strong earnings results Friday morning. The summary from the company’s presentation says it all: SOL’s push downstream into the module production business has had a very positive impact on the business. Revenue and earnings growth accelerated in the third quarter. (Click for a larger view – I highly … Read more
Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT) have been tech laggards for some time now. However, over the past week, both stocks finally breached the all-important 200-day moving average (DMA) line of resistance (charts at the end of this piece). While MSFT is struggling to add to its small post-earnings gains, INTC has completely reversed the post-earnings … Read more
Like my friend TraderMike, I am extremely surprised at the timing of the market’s latest breakout. I too would have thought a breakout would come immediately after one of our three main news items of the week, not in between! I agree with TraderMike that the nature of this breakout leaves open the real possibility … Read more
Evergreen Solar’s sudden resurgence in October remains a mystery to me. Nothing in the recent third quarter earnings report explains the sudden return of enthusiasm to the stock. On the other hand, there was just enough reassurance in the report to once again suspend fears of the worst outcomes. ESLR remains a speculative play on … Read more
A Few Election Thoughts – Early Warning What I see happening is this: the public is aware, rather inchoately, that things are going badly wrong and that the life they are accustomed to is under threat, but they have no idea what to do. The parties, by and large, have failed to diagnose the roots … Read more
The Federal Reserve announced its plans to drive quantitative easing (QE) part 2 by maintaining the reinvestment of “…principal payments from its securities holdings purchasing…[and purchasing] a further $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month.” The New York Fed … Read more
Slowdown in Germany? Italy cutting solar subsidies 6-10%? The Czech Republic trimming subsidies? A deterioration in ASPs (average selling prices) in the second half of 2011? A huge follow-on offering of 3.5M ADS (American Depository Shares) in which insiders are cashing in on 43% of the shares? Jinko Solar (JKS) mentioned all these potential headwinds … Read more
While many gear up for the elections and the Federal Reserve, I am bracing myself for a barrage of earnings from solar companies. Thursday night, First Solar (FSLR) kicked off the earnings parade in disappointing fashion as the market reacted by taking the stock down 9%. It seems that the market agonized over two main … Read more
Fed Asks Dealers to Estimate Size, Impact of Debt Purchases – Bloomberg The Federal Reserve asked bond dealers and investors for projections of central bank asset purchases over the next six months, along with the likely effect on yields, as it seeks to gauge the possible impact of new efforts to spur growth. (tags: monetary_policy … Read more