Following the Charts Instead of the Bad News: Some Lessons from the Past Two Weeks

One of the many interesting features of the stock market since it broke down on March 10th is that the news has often been a distraction to underlying developments in the market. Following the charts has been relatively more effective than following the news in creating a (short-term) trading strategy. T2108, the percentage of stocks … Read more

Chart Review: From Promise to Letdown – Finisar, JDSU, F5 Networks

A week ago I used F5 Networks (FFIV) as a model to suggest that Finisar (FNSR) and JDS Uniphase (JDSU) showed some promise to bounce from critical support levels. I drew out the specific price points at which buys made sense and included some stops. The promise quickly led to a letdown as both FNSR … Read more

links for 2011-03-19

Record $956 million pours into Japanese stock funds – Mar. 18 … Investors plowed a record amount of cash into funds that invest in Japanese equities this week, taking full advantage of a sharp drop in the Nikkei following the disaster in Japan. (tags: Japan investing stock_market)

The Yen and Franc Break the Dollar’s Back – Can the BoJ Save It?

NOW things get even more interesting for the U.S. dollar. In dramatic fashion, a tremendous surge in buying in the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen shortly after the close of the U.S. market on Wednesday set the dollar hurtling through its long-term support line. This break was long in the making and something I … Read more

links for 2011-03-16

Energy Dominoes From Japan | Alternative Energy Stocks Rising oil prices and increased attention towards the risks of nuclear energy in the ring of fire will increase alternatives to conventional energy production. As our mistaken assumptions about the security and sustainability of traditional energy sources fall like dominoes, alternative energy businesses become more and more … Read more

Dollar Clings to Support (Yes, Again)

Tuesday’s expected gap down and steady buyback created a LOT of amazing charts. Many stocks I have reviewed bounced with picture-perfect accuracy off key support levels like 50DMAs and 200DMAs. The chart of the dollar index also caught my attention (as it so often does). For the past two days, the U.S. dollar has clung … Read more

What A Day for a Fed Meeting (including S&P 500, USD/JPY chart reviews)

The Federal Reserve meets and decides monetary policy on Tuesday right in the middle of the most tumultuous time for global financial markets perhaps since the March, 2009 lows. As the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is furiously printing money to buttress its financial system and promote calm, I fully expect the Fed to issue a … Read more

Chart Review: Finisar, JDSU Could Be Ready for Bounces, F5 Networks

Finisar (FNSR) was punished with a 39% one-day loss last week after announcing disappointing guidance for the current quarter that included the extremely poisonous phrase “…a slowdown in business in China.” The tremendous price drop combined with record trading volume of 40.4M shares displayed all the classic markings of complete abandonment by institutions and large … Read more