T2108 Update (September 26, 2016) – The S&P 500’s Post-Fed Celebration Comes to a Pre-Debate End

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 23, 2016) – The S&P 500 Fails to Close the Deal On the Latest Bullish Case

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Potentially Ominous Sentiment Shift for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 25, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest data on speculator forex positioning showed a sudden and abrupt change in sentiment on the Australian dollar (FXA). {snip} If this sharp drop in net longs turns into net … Read more

A Shift In the UGA vs USO Pairs Trade Ahead of Algiers OPEC Gathering

OPEC, the oil cartel known as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, will hold an informal meeting in Algiers, Algeria this coming week (September 28, 2016). On Friday, September 23, 2016 headlines declared that Saudi Arabia and Iran were unable to reach agreement on production caps after two days of preparatory talks in Vienna, … Read more

A Bottoming For Solar City Sets Up Next Pairs Trade With Tesla

A week ago, I discussed the setup for the next pairs trade going short Solar City (SCTY) and long Tesla Motors (TSLA). The technicals of SCTY and TSLA suggested a (short-term) bottom in the making. The latest charts suggest a confirmation of those bottoms, especially for Solar City. The follow-through confirmation came 2 days after … Read more