Bottoming Efforts: Deutsche Bank Follow-Through and First Solar Breakout

Deutsche Bank (DB) In early October, I pointed out the extreme in bearish sentiment on Deutsche Bank (DB) and the related overcrowding in bearish bets. After DB surged 14% off its latest all-time low, I decided to hold onto my call options which were a play on a bottom. So far, so good. DB printed … Read more

T2108 Update (October 19, 2016) – The S&P 500 Bounces Weakly from Near-Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Brazil ETF Continues Adding to A Tremendous 2016 Rally

Almost two months ago, I explained my decision to sell my position in iShares MSCI Brazil Capped (EWZ). I also pointed to a 20% correction as the next time I will consider buying again. Since then, EWZ rallied, dipped slightly to a lower low, and then resumed its current rally. That rally accelerated a bit … Read more

Bay Area Housing In Focus: San Francisco Versus Brisbane

SF is happy to build housing on Brisbane Baylands- 684 acres of vacant land. We all need to do our share for working families + environment. https://t.co/X1se1UuLwN — Jane Kim (@JaneKim) September 27, 2016 This was a tweet that launched a potential “housing war” on the Peninsula of the San Francisco Bay Area. I like … Read more

Gold and Silver Face A Further Erosion of Support

A week ago, I laid out a case for a tradable bottom in SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV). While both funds held up around 200-day moving average (DMA) support, speculators retreated further from net long positions in the latest CFTC data. Source: Oanda’s CFTC Commitment of Traders Net speculative longs in … Read more