T2108 Update – March 8, 2012 (Bullish comeback)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 65% (up from 57%) … Read more

Magic Number $600 Still Holds for Google

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Google (GOOG) has proven itself allergic to sub-$600 prices. On Tuesday, GOOG dropped as low as $594. But for the third time in three weeks, GOOG managed to close above $600 … Read more

Removing Skull Candy from Buy List of Insider Stock Purchases

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In late September, selling in the stock market was intensifying, and I wrote a piece summarizing a list of stocks where insiders were buying their own stock. The performance since then … Read more

My Love Affair with the Australian Dollar Has Officially Ended

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip}…this is a good moment to describe finally why I recently sold my long-term holdings in the Rydex CurrencyShares Australian (FXA). {snip} Never once have I pondered the possibility of the … Read more

Groupon Headed for Post-IPO Lows

In mid-February, I posted Groupon (GRPN) as a bearish post-earnings play (see “Groupon Loses Gains From Facebook IPO Hype And Put Options Soar“). At the time, I claimed that the stock would linger around its $20 IPO price for a while after the immediate post-earnings selling. Sure enough, GRPN hung around $20 for another two … Read more

Potentially Ominous Breakdown for Caterpillar (CAT)

The last time Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) failed a retest of all-time highs was in the middle of 2008. The stock broke down in June and it was mostly downhill from there for another year. On Tuesday, March 6th, Caterpillar confirmed another failed retest of an all-time high by breaking down below its 50DMA. Source of … Read more

T2108 Update – March 6, 2012 (Climactic Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 49% (2-month low) VIX … Read more

Weakness in the Yen Is Over for Now

Almost two weeks ago, I underlined the case for on-going weakness in the Japanese yen. The U.S. dollar had rallied to 80.60 against the yen (USD/JPY) in almost a straight line. I chose that point to close out my yen shorts to wait for what I thought would be an inevitable pullback from such a … Read more

Chart Review: Zynga Holds Firm

On a big down day in the general stock market, Zynga (ZNGA) managed to gain a fraction of a percent today. The stock punctured support from the current uptrend line but quickly bounced back. Although the stock now needs to clear fresh all-time highs to invalidate the bearish “abandoned baby top” I pointed out yesterday, … Read more

T2108 Update – March 5, 2012 (The Anti-Climactic End Of An Historic Overbought Period)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 69% (ending 43 days … Read more