ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 8, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Canada has produced several strong economic reports over the past several months. For example, even with a 8.8% month-over-month drop in employment in the natural resources sector, January produced a net … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is never good to see a negative print on a GDP growth number. It is even worse when it is below market “expectations.” When Statistics Canada reported a GDP decline … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) “The recent movements in oil prices have been dramatic, but they are not random. Once we sort through the different economic forces at play, we see that underlying the recent drop … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Jan 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) On December 23rd, Statistics Canada reported another strong showing for Canada’s GDP. This time it was manufacturing that produced the unexpectedly strong result. Real GDP increased 0.3% in October. {snip} Given … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 8, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On June 4th, the Bank of Canada hit the “repeat button” by maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1%. The rest of the statement was not a repeat: it … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) There are plenty of reasons to worry about the U.S. housing market. I am not adding China’s recent market turmoil to the list. In a piece called “Will China flee or … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 21, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) A year ago, the Canadian dollar (FXC) hit my then annual 1.08 target for the USD/CAD currency pair. I next contemplated setting a much more aggressive year-long target of 1.16. In … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 4, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Bank of Canada once again left its overnight target interest rate at 1% in its latest monetary policy decision. An important change this time around came in the form of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Once again, traders overlooked another strong economic report from Canada. This time the strong report came in the form of GDP growth. The distracting event was a tremendous plunge in oil … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Suddenly, prospects for the Canadian dollar (FXC) are presumably improving with unemployment making a dramatic turnaround over the last two months. September’s good news was drowned out by October’s sharp sell-off … Read more