T2108 Update (January 28, 2016) – Full Bull While Peering Over the Edge of An Extended Oversold Period

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Canadian Dollar’s Rapid Devaluation: A Precarious Predicament for the Bank of Canada

A year ago, the Bank of Canada (BOC) delivered the first of two rate cut surprises for the year. So with oil still cratering ever lower, I can understand why the market seemed braced for yet another rate cut last week. Instead, the BOC not only stood still on rates, but also it expressed an … Read more

The Canadian Dollar Hits A Fresh Milestone

August 27, 2003. This was the last trading day where USD/CAD traded above the 1.40 mark. Until now. The Canadian dollar (FXC) slipped hard and fast in overnight trading to hit 1.408 for USD/CAD at the time of writing. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Canada / U.S. Foreign Exchange Rate … Read more

The Bank of Canada Looks Forward to Policy Divergence

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 3, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Lost in the flurry of economic and monetary news of the week was the Bank of Canada’s December decision on interest rates. The Bank kept its target rate at 0.5%, and … Read more

OPEC Slams the Oil Patch – A Quick Look At the Reverberations

On Friday, December 4, 2015, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) slammed the oil patch by adjourning without an agreement to put a cap on production. This quote from a Bloomberg article probably sums up the implications best: “‘It means more OPEC oil next year,’ Jamie Webster, a Washington-based oil analyst for IHS … Read more

A Rebound In Canada’s Oil Patch Helps Support GDP But Not the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the third straight month, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction in Canada expanded. According to Statistics Canada, this commodity and energy based category of economic output has now grown … Read more

The Canadian Dollar Ends Worst Week In Three Months: Spotlight on Economic Conditions and Monetary Policy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) On October 21st, the Bank of Canada issued its latest statement on monetary policy. While the Bank of Canada (BoC) left interest rates unchanged, it slightly lowered its growth forecast over … Read more

T2108 Update (October 9, 2015) – Commodity Currencies Leading the Way to Overbought Trading Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 7, 2015) – The S&P 500 Reaches Its Highest and Most Important Post-Oversold Close

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more