Priced In Gold, the Stock Market Continues to Struggle

Over the past two days, I have crowed about silver, pondered whether gold will catch up, and marveled at the doubling in the S&P 500 from the March, 2009 lows. Yet, I failed to put the stories together into one chart for proper context: the S&P 500 priced in gold. Of course, almost every gold … Read more

Buyers Push Overbought Indicator to New 3-Month Highs – But Does It Matter?

T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), has finally moved higher. For much of 2011, T2108 has lingered just above or just below the overbought threshold of 70% (see my new T2108 resource page). It is now at 74.6%. The last time T2108 was this high was 3 months … Read more

Cautious As the S&P 500 Hits the Upper Resistance Target

I thought I would get extremely bearish once the S&P 500 reached my upside resistance target of 1300-1310. Yet here we are just five weeks into the year, and the deepest angst I can summon is an uncomfortable sense of “caution.” With T2108 – the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more

U.S. Markets Keep Grinding Higher As Europe Snaps Back

A month ago, I laid out the case for the S&P 500 sustaining its upward momentum. I pointed to 1300-1310 as the next point of strong resistance. As the S&P 500 nears that point (half of a percent away now), I marvel at how quickly this test has come. T2108, the percentage of stocks trading … Read more

The Stock Market Is Finally Overbought Again (including an update on first-of-year performance)

Throughout the stock market’s meandering upward in December, I maintained that technical conditions were not yet overbought. I also noted that T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs), would likely not reach the overbought threshold (at least 70%) until a rush of “panicked buyers” sent the market soaring higher. I … Read more