ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On July 30th, the Australian dollar made a clean breakout against the U.S. dollar (FXA). At that time, I stated I was finally ready to reposition for what could be an … Read more
(This is an addendum to the last T2108 Update that presented the case for an imminent, extended, overbought rally for the S&P 500). On Friday, July 27, the S&P 500 broke out in a rally that continues in grinding fashion from the June lows. In parallel, the Australian dollar (FXA) has also rallied from its … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide fascinating, and profitable, examples of its strong relationship with the S&P 500 (SPY). {snip} On July 23rd, another big sell-off day, the Australian dollar … Read more
The trading action in forex is starting to pick up again with quickly changing setups. Of the many twists, the Australian dollar (FXA) continues to capture a lot of my attention. Currently, the Aussie looks ready to break out against the U.S. dollar. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD is now positive again for the year, and, at … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I was looking for confirmation of the increasingly bullish outlook, but I did not get it. In “Bearish Implications of A Rare Convergence of Extremes in Yen vs S&P 500 … Read more
On Friday, the Australian dollar (FXA) enjoyed continued strength as financial markets rallied strongly into the close ahead of Sunday’s potential turmoil with Greek elections. Just two days ago, I wrote that I switched back to a bearish stance on AUD/USD after it reached my relief rally target of parity. I also said that “I … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Tuesday night, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a surprise jump in GDP of 1.3% quarter-over-quarter. With growing fears of a global economic slowdown, analyst consensus had pegged growth only … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Futures estimated a 63% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would cut rates by 50 basis points tonight, but the RBA went with the analyst consensus of a 25 … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar…{snip}…has been highly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) for much of the last six years and more. The correlation has broken down at critical moments, the most interesting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have been writing more and more bearishly on the Australian dollar this year (for example, see “Reserve Bank Of Australia Seems Biased Toward More Monetary Easing“). After BHP Billiton (BHP) … Read more