Relief Rally Underway for the Australian Dollar – Just Barely

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 8, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The move has occurred in fits and starts, but the relief rally I anticipated for the Australian dollar (FXA) appears to be underway. The latest decision on monetary policy from the … Read more

Prepare for A Potential Relief Rally in the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Glenn Stevens made it clear on July 30, 2013 that the RBA will maintain exceptionally low interest rates for quite some time, the Australian … Read more

Governor Stevens Hints At Sustained Lower Levels for Rates, Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The market is finally listening for every little cue from Glenn Stevens, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), and he is taking full advantage of it to help … Read more

An Uneven Recovery from the Interest Rate Blues

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released the minutes from its monetary policy decision meeting earlier this month. It contains some great detail on the RBA’s assessment of global financial conditions. … Read more

Estimating A 12-Month Range of 0.86 to 1.02 for the Australian Vs. U.S. Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the past week, we have seen two different views on the Australian dollar (FXA) from official government sources. Last week, the Australian Government Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) … Read more

A Record Iron Ore Shipment As Prices and the Australian Dollar Plunge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Port Hedland Port Authority along the northern coast of Western Australia reported on June 10th surprising news on an iron ore shipment: {snip} The Port does not report the value … Read more

Plunging Iron Ore Underlines Coming Monetary Policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 2, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} …Iron prices have plunged almost as severely as they did last August as steel rebar prices have fallen. From Reuters on May 31st: {snip} These price declines would seem to … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes Suggest Rate Cuts Are About The Exchange Rate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} In Monday’s minutes (Tuesday Australia time) of the May 7th policy meeting, the RBA provided no direct smoking gun to explain what I called at the time a mystifying rate … Read more

Australian Dollar Breaks Down

When I last wrote about the Australian dollar (FXA), I targeted a retest of the 2012 low as one of two points to exit my short position on AUD/USD. The test at 0.96 happened last Thursday, May 24, and as AUD/USD printed an obligatory bounce from that support, I exited. The support held firm until … Read more

Chart Review: Shutterfly, BlackBerry, Weight Watchers, Peabody Energy, Australian Dollar

The market continues to throw up a lot of interesting charts, particularly on the bullish side. This chart review takes a quick look at Shutterfly (SFLY), BlackBerry (BBRY), Weight Watchers (WTW), Peabody Energy (BTU), and the Australian dollar (AUD/USD or FXA). SFLY just reported earnings, and the market clearly loved it. The stock printed a … Read more