ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The stock market has floated higher on the good tidings of easy monetary policies around the globe. The Federal Reserve recently suggested that it will be on hold for the foreseeable future. These accommodative conditions are positive for precious metals, but both gold and silver topped out in early September. In hindsight, the run-up into … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For those who have paid attention to the words of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, it is no surprise that money-printing continues to be the response to persistently poor economic performance. … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} {snip} First, why bother with a silver miner that is experiencing operational difficulties due to political turmoil? I think the company’s description of itself provides a good summary of the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Gold and silver have languished since reaching their last peaks in 2011. {snip} Last week, gold and silver reawakened and made sharp reversals. {snip} Note that the dollar’s resurgence since hitting … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 21, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Bill Fleckenstein is my favorite investor in gold and silver (he is on the board of directors for Pan American Silver Corporation [PAAS]). In his latest post on gold, Fleckenstein broke … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar was one of last week’s biggest losers during a very bullish week. As I have chronicled for several weeks now, the market’s bullish signals continue to grow. With … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar confirmed yet again the importance of its 200-day moving average (DMA). I updated my review of this case two weeks ago by demonstrating in detail how the dollar sustains moves both above … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This piece is a follow-up post to “Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World” (Part 1) in which I discussed the implications of Jeremy Grantham’s fundamental thesis of a new world where resources are … Read more
What has changed in the two months it took for silver to stampede its way up $15 (a 43% gain) and back? Did the Federal Reserve raise rates? Did the Federal Reserve threaten the market with rate hikes? Did the housing market rebound sharply, generating an expectation for higher rates? Did inflation expectations adjust sharply? … Read more
Today, Pan American Silver Corporation (PAAS) issued a press release confirming my earlier assumption that its mining operations in Bolivia would not be impacted by the Bolivian government’s efforts to further nationalize its resource industries (see “Despair Deep in the Silver Mines: Another Opportunity to Buy Pan American Silver“). “On May 1, Bolivian President Evo … Read more