Dollar On Thin Ice

The dollar put on another weak showing on Thursday as it struggles to maintain critical support at the 200-day moving average. If it were not for the Bank of Japan’s intervention to weaken the yen the previous day, it seems the dollar would be well on its way down through a technical breakdown. *Chart created … Read more

The BoJ Saves the U.S. Dollar from a Major Technical Breakdown

The Bank of Japan (and/or the Japanese Ministry of Finance) has an excellent sense of timing technicals. Last night’s intervention to put an end to the on-going strength in the Japanese yen came just as the U.S. dollar looked ready to follow-through on its break of the important support at the 200-day moving average (DMA). … Read more

Kyle Bass Reiterates the Case for A Sovereign Debt Default in Japan

Hedge fund manager Kyle Bass, managing partner at Hayman Investments, earned his claim to fame by predicting the crash in housing prices and the financial crisis that would follow. Now, he has focused his cold stare on the bubbles in sovereign debt in developed economies. The folks at CNBC’s Strategy session interviewed Bass last week … Read more

U.S. Dollar Enjoys Largest One-Day Rally In 19 Months

Now THIS is the way to start a relief rally. The U.S. dollar index surged on Wednesday 1.84%, marking its largest one-day gain since a 2.72% gain on January 20, 2009. At that time, the dollar was in the middle of a sharp and major bounce off its 200-day moving average (DMA) support on its … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Tries On A Relief Rally

The U.S. dollar rallied into the Federal Reserve’s latest decision on monetary policy. This move seemed to launch (finally) the start of a relief rally that I have tried to anticipate as the dollar approached its support at the 200-day moving average (DMA). The uncertainty over the outcome of the Fed decision encouraged me to … Read more