Tariff Crash Trading Plan: Chaos Edition – The Market Breadth

tariff crash trading plan - chaos edition

Stock Market Commentary The stock market fell into chaos all over again as the U.S. retaliated against China’s tariff retaliation, hiking tariffs up to 104%. This escalation halted a rally that started as solid follow-through from the bullish engulfing bottom from the previous trading day. The whipsaw action underscored the fragility of technical setups in … Read more

How Home Builder Stocks Trade In A Seasonal Pattern (2025 Update)

seasonal pattern home builders (Credit: Housing Market by free pictures of money on Flickr)

Introduction The U.S. housing market follows a seasonal pattern. The spring selling season typically represents the year’s peak of activity in the housing market. During this time, households try to settle into a new home before summer travel or well ahead of the Fall start to the next school year. Like retailers who eagerly anticipate … Read more

The Time Has Come…For A New Overbought Period – The Market Breadth

The Time Has Come For A New Overbought Period – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary This year’s Jackson Hole confab hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve delivered for financial markets. In his prepared speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell issued an historic and classic sound bite for all of the history of monetary policy (emphasis mine): “The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of … Read more

Super Hero Small Caps Ignite Overbought Conditions – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) soared to overbought conditions and its highest point in 6 months.

Stock Market Commentary The NASDAQ is still toppy, but no matter. Small cap stocks are playing the role of super hero. They made a major statement helping to drive market breadth into overbought conditions. These tiny tots turned super hero in historic fashion. Talk about igniting overbought conditions in style! Forget all that talk about … Read more

What Happened to the Homebuilders: A Citigroup Downgrade

What Happened to the Housing Market

Question. When an analyst lowers the price target on a stock to a level still substantially higher than the current price, what do you expect to happen? What if that price target comes with a downgrade from buy to neutral? If you answered lower, you win a prize… a discounted price on homebuilder stocks. A … Read more