ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Many technology stocks have rebounded sharply off their August lows. Stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) have even managed to register fresh all-time highs in the past week. On the other hand, Google (GOOG) has gone nowhere in about two years and now faces overhead resistance yet again. In today’s trading, GOOG was turned … Read more
2011 has been a rough year for Google (GOOG) as the stock continues to underperform relative to the S&P 500. GOOG is down 14% year-to-date while the S&P 500 is up 6.5%. I was premature in mid-May speculating that GOOG had finally reached some kind of bottom in the wake of its bond-offering. However, a … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and neutral (ending 2 days of oversold conditions). VIX Status: 22; higher than the start of last oversold period (19). General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold, assuming trading longs … Read more
California governor Jerry Brown surprised the state by announcing $6.6B in additional tax revenues that were not expected in the last tax year. In the context of Silicon Valley’s frenetic scramble for new hires, perhaps these revenues would be much less surprising. The job market is hot for engineers, start-ups are getting funded (and acquired), … Read more
Excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece: Google (GOOG) is down 9.2% since reporting earnings April 14 and now sports a forward earnings multiple of 13. At $525, GOOG is at 7-month lows and is again close to the psychologically significant $500 price level. This combination … Read more
Three and a half years ago, I concluded that options for Google (GOOG) should be sold, not bought, ahead of earnings. This advice seemed to generally apply ever since as GOOG tended to move just enough after earnings to devalue near-the-money calls AND puts. Friday’s 11% post-earnings pop was a rare, and impressive, exception to … Read more
With tongue reaching for the cheek last week, I declared the market both extremely undervalued and very overvalued, guessing that “as earnings season grinds on, I suspect the near-predictable pattern of post-earnings fades will finally wear thin, giving way to more bullish behavior.” I did not expect the turn to happen so clearly and dramatically … Read more
Big-cap tech stocks have been some of the poorest performers during the recent sell-off in the stock market. Google (GOOG) stands out as one of the worst of the bunch. All technical indicators are pointing to even lower prices before some kind of bottom gets established. I am fond of trading GOOG between earnings reports. … Read more
Google (GOOG) has had a rough 2010. While the NASDAQ is up 1% for the year, GOOG is down 10%. Buyers have finally flocked to GOOG in the past week as the stock hit oversold levels, and the stock has perked up for the first time in 2010. (GOOG was one of several stocks I … Read more
In my last piece on Google (GOOG), I neglected to post an update to my chart on the company’s revenue metrics using the 2009 fourth quarter earnings report. The chart below shows that revenue per employee has now returned to the highs at the beginning of GOOG’s existence as a public company. Assuming that net … Read more