Australian Dollar Confirms Stock Rally As It Re-Emerges As A Leading ‘Risk-On’ Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar’s year-to-date performance against the U.S. dollar (FXA) is back to even. The leading “risk-on” currency has fought back from a large one month slide that featured losses of … Read more

Remaining Bearish On Australian Dollar As The RBA Braces For More Financial Turmoil

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In keeping interest rates at 3.50%, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issued a relatively mundane statement on monetary policy on July 3rd. This statement contained many of the same themes … Read more

Australian Dollar Holds Firm Ahead Of A Likely Rate Cut

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) One of my reasons for recently turning bearish on the Australian dollar (FXA) is what I see as the likelihood of additional rate cuts through the year. It seems the consensus … Read more

Chart Review: British Pound Continues Breakout Versus Australian Dollar, Now Expecting Temporary Pullback

Last week, I pointed out how the currency pair of the British pound versus the Australian dollar (GBP/AUD) was setting up for a breakout. That breakout occurred two days later and continues at the time of writing following weak consumer price index data from Australia. I sold my latest round of GBP/AUD long as I … Read more

The Australian Dollar’s Slide Versus the British Pound Accelerates

Last week I asked whether time is running out for the Australian dollar versus the British pound. Apparently, the answer is yes. The very next day, the GBP/AUD currency pair surged upward through the previous trading channel. Only the 200-day moving average (DMA) stopped the momentum. But even that reprieve looks very temporary. As of … Read more