ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 31, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The path for a peak in the Japanese yen is turning into a much more arduous one that I had hoped. Last week, I pointed to an imminent acceleration in purchases … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It seems that the U.S. market has grown weary of worrying about the euro. The euro has lost 4.5% versus the U.S. dollar (EUR/USD)(FXE) since December 9, 2011 while the S&P … Read more
Recently, the euro has received more focus than ever, especially as it printed new 11-month lows against the U.S. dollar and new 11-YEAR lows against the yen today (December 29th). However, over the past week, the British pound has fared even WORSE than the euro. The euro is now trading at 10-day highs versus the … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Call it a minor victory for Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi who declared his country is in “a war of nerves” with markets over the value of its currency given the … Read more
Surprise! The dollar’s relief rally is not quite over as I had suspected last Thursday (October 27) when the dollar plunged with resounding force below its 200-day moving average (DMA). On Monday, the dollar index surged back above its 200DMA as all of last week’s booming enthusiasm over a deal on Greek sovereign dealt rapidly … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar was one of last week’s biggest losers during a very bullish week. As I have chronicled for several weeks now, the market’s bullish signals continue to grow. With … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 82% (sixth day of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The relief rally for the U.S. dollar that I expected after the S&P downgrade of U.S. government debt did not materialize last week. {snip}…The dollar gained 1.6% over the franc BUT not until after the … Read more
The dollar has been one of the weaker currencies amongst the major industrial trading partners. Thanks to coordinated intervention, the Japanese yen has managed to take over the mantle from the dollar in the race to the bottom. The weekly chart below shows that the dollar’s rally against the yen stopped cold as it approached … Read more
NOW things get even more interesting for the U.S. dollar. In dramatic fashion, a tremendous surge in buying in the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen shortly after the close of the U.S. market on Wednesday set the dollar hurtling through its long-term support line. This break was long in the making and something I … Read more