ATM: The Apple Trading Model Formalized

I finally took some time to further formalize the Apple Trading Model (ATM). To-date, I have described this in extensive detail showing Apple’s (AAPL) daily trading patterns and post-earnings trading patterns. I took these lessons (updated periodically in other posts) and created a very simple dataset as a foundation for running a regression tree (a … Read more

With A Rate Decision Looming, Weakening Australian Dollar Sends Poor Signal for Stocks

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) While all eyes are trained on U.S. economic data this week, Australians are looking ahead to Monday, February 4th when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) makes its next statement on … Read more

The Australian Dollar Breaks Out As It Regains Correlation With The S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Thursday, January 10th, China reported export growth much larger than forecasters expected. {snip} This surge helped push the Australian dollar (FXA) far enough to finally break a long-standing downtrend against … Read more

Black Friday Trade Gets More Bullish Even As Fiscal Cliff Looms

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The rally from oversold conditions in the S&P 500 (SPY) from the November lows has now nearly recovered post-election losses. On the way up, we got to see whether Black Friday … Read more

Quantifying the Significance of Black Friday Trading

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The day after Thanksgiving, affectionately known as Black Friday, is an odd day of trading. For whatever reason, the exchanges open for business for part of the day even as most people … Read more