The U.S. Dollar’s Post-QE3 Relief Rally Likely To Give Way To Meandering

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The financial crisis of 2008/2009 ended a long-term downtrend in the U.S. dollar (UUP). Ever since then, the Federal Reserve has been unable to grease the skids sufficiently to get this … Read more

Canadian Dollar Quakes After Carney Warnings And Ahead of Next Rate Decision

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Since at least 2010, Governor Mark Carney has consistently warned Canadians that interest rates are abnormally low and must inevitably go up. However, Carney has also made it clear that … Read more

Chart Review: Canadian Dollar Ready to Retake Advantage Over USD

Earlier in the day, I tweeted: Finally time to short $USDCAD. At 50DMA and a 2-week post-QE3 relief rally seems “long enough” For two weeks since the Federal Reserve announced QE3, the dollar index has had a nice relief rally. Notice that the dollar index has hit its first test at the 20-day moving average … Read more

T2108 Update (September 25, 2012) – On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Now that Bernanke Has Made His Move, It Is Azumi’s Turn

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the Federal Reserve’s latest statement on monetary policy, Chairman Ben Bernanke basically announced that the Fed is giving the economy a blank check: {snip} This forceful action is likely much … Read more