T2108 Update – June 13, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 21% and “almost” oversold. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Add more small long positions. Commentary T2108 dropped to 21%, right on the edge of the official 20% oversold … Read more

Chart Review: Molycorp Plunges Into Oversold Conditions

The recent trading action in Molycorp (MCP) has deeply disappointed MCP bulls. The stock has gone from a bullish technical setup to today’s oversold conditions in the space of two weeks. Inserted into this sell-off was MCP’s move to get a stock offering and convertible deal done. The announcement created a tremendous overhang on the … Read more

A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more

T2108 Update – June 10, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Start adding small long positions. Commentary As I suspected, yesterday’s oversold bounce was short-lived. The selling today was strong, persistent, … Read more

T2108 Update – June 9, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 31% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% or below. Commentary Today’s obligatory bounce from … Read more

T2107 Flashes A Major Bearish Warning

On May 15, 2006, I wrote a piece called “Evidence of A Tiring Bull.” I used T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages (DMAs), to make the strong claim that the three-year old bull market was nearing an end. T2107 had been in decline for two years, and I projected the … Read more

T2108 Update – June 8, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 29% and Neutral (oversold based on history since March, 2009). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% … Read more

T2108 Update – June 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 32% and Neutral. General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory at 20% or below. Commentary T2108 made a minor … Read more

T2108 Update – June 6, 2011 (Market “Oversold”)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 30% and Neutral (oversold territory relative to behavior over past two years). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory … Read more

Even Buyout Rumors Cannot Help RIM

(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, briefing.com reported that rumors hit the trading floors that Cisco (CSCO) might make a buyout offer for Research In Motion (RIMM). The rumor was good for a brief 2-hour or so pop before the … Read more