ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 55% and Neutral General Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped 9 percentage points to 55% as the S&P 500 dropped 0.8%. So far, the index is holding the first … Read more
Dear Readers, I am writing to alert you to a change in my publishing model that may have a slight impact on the way you consume content at “One-Twenty Two.” If you do not want to read my nostalgia and a brief history of this blog, you can skip down to the section at the … Read more
Resist the madness of the crowd – investing psychology – MSN Money …what is required to make money is not a change in the business, but rather a change in the perception of that business. And if you are lucky enough to get both, you can benefit from a double whammy, as the earnings and … Read more
Dangerous Views of Volatility: Pay attention to the VIX, but don't just follow the crowd – Barrons.com The market remains schizophrenic. One day, stock prices tumble because Standard & Poor's questions the credit rating of the United States, and investors panic and sell and fret, and the front pages of many newspapers are apocalyptic. The … Read more
The Sun is Rising on Solar Stocks (aka Getting Started Trading Solar Stocks) – by Dr. Duru The solar industry represents an electric convergence of technology, advanced research, energy, environment, credit markets, speculation and politics. This volatile mix represents the opportunity and challenge in trading solar stocks. (tags: solar stock_market trading_strategy energy)
One of the many interesting features of the stock market since it broke down on March 10th is that the news has often been a distraction to underlying developments in the market. Following the charts has been relatively more effective than following the news in creating a (short-term) trading strategy. T2108, the percentage of stocks … Read more
Finisar (FNSR) was punished with a 39% one-day loss last week after announcing disappointing guidance for the current quarter that included the extremely poisonous phrase “…a slowdown in business in China.” The tremendous price drop combined with record trading volume of 40.4M shares displayed all the classic markings of complete abandonment by institutions and large … Read more
The primary upward trend in the S&P 500 finally ended, and the advantage in trading finally goes to the sellers for the first time since August, 2010. For me, technically, the upward trend ended with the flattening of the 20DMA. I noted this important change yesterday. The confirmation of the end came today with the … Read more
Throughout the stock market’s meandering upward in December, I maintained that technical conditions were not yet overbought. I also noted that T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving averages (DMAs), would likely not reach the overbought threshold (at least 70%) until a rush of “panicked buyers” sent the market soaring higher. I … Read more
Last week, I claimed that the market is not yet overbought and that any corrections in the short-term will most likely be shallow. Without some specific and new catalyst, traders and investors, especially the ones who missed this latest rally, will treat pullbacks as golden buying opportunities. Moreover, I noted how, as expected, many analysts … Read more