Why Wall Street Wants A Recession

Jerome Powell at the Reservation Economic Summit

That sigh of disappointment was Wall Street looking for signs of a weakening labor market in the June jobs report. Instead, that report showed job creation remains robust in the economy. Not only did the unemployment rate remain steady at a low 3.6% with the economy adding 372,000 jobs (far more than “consensus” expectations), the … Read more

Are We There Yet? The ARK Funds Fight for Bottoming Levels

When Cathie Wood anticipated a “doozie of a correction” in early 2021, she surely did not expect a complete collapse in the mania and bubble she had enjoyed during the first year of the pandemic. However, the cash machine betting on the downtrend in the ARK Funds may finally stop operations soon. Last week, one … Read more

On the Way to Oversold, Fed Faces Test of Resolve – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: Trading extremes led to a snapback rally as expected. However, the rally was short-lived as bear market action quickly resumed. The stock market looks like it is on the way to oversold trading conditions as March closing lows failed to hold as support. Fear is palpable as traders and investors scramble to … Read more

Trading Around Soaring Interest Rates

In “Jim Bianco: “Arguably One of the Worst Forecasts In Fed History’” I wrote about the prospects of trading soaring interest rates with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). I have recently and belatedly faded rallies in TLT by buying puts and taking small profits on the way back down. (TLT goes up when … Read more

Sellers Tightened Resistance Looming Over the Trading Action – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market held up surprisingly well last week given the intensifying Russian assault on Ukraine and the accelerating economic sanctions pressing upon Russia. Yet, similar to my concerns for the suffering Ukrainian people, I have increasing doubts that this market “stasis” can last much longer. Specifically, the downtrending 20-day moving averages … Read more