Google’s Pre-Earnings Mystery At $800

Google (GOOG) reports earnings tonight (October 18th). I ran out of time for running my “earnings trade template,” but I wanted to take a few minutes to post some interesting observations on GOOG options. These may become good references for the next round of earnings. (See “Chipotle Bears Ready For Another Poor Earnings Performance But … Read more

T2108 Update (October 3, 2012) – Bearish Divergence With A Caveat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (October 2, 2012) – S&P 500 Wedge and Chart Reviews of AAPL, YELP, CERN, and JCP

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

priceline.com Breaks Out As Post-Earnings Recovery Continues

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Over a month ago I wrote that priceline.com (PCLN) was not likely to recover its post-earnings losses in the near-term. Based on the bearish commentary on its European business and reminders … Read more

T2108 Update (September 25, 2012) – On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Facebook’s Fragile Upward Momentum Ends In One Day

It had to be too good to be true – Facebook (FB) CEO Mark Zuckerberg able to “motivate” his stock upward and out from the ashes of a post-IPO disaster. On Monday, September 25th, FB got hit by a bearish Barron’s article pegging Facebook’s value at $15/share. The stock subsequently crumbled under the pressure to … Read more

Yelp.com Rally Creates Good Risk/Reward for Playing Persistently Large Options Skew

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When I wrote “Wide Options Skew Heightens Risks Of Trading Yelp.com Lockup Expiration,” my main point was that Yelp.com (YELP) put options seemed too expensive to take the risk of playing … Read more

Wide Options Skew Heightens Risk of Trading Yelp.com Lockup Expiration

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Yelp.com (YELP) has a float of 16.59M shares and shares outstanding of 61.2M. According to Eric Savitz, 52.7M shares (Class B) are available to start trading on August 29th as Yelp’s … Read more

Positioning for Hastings to Finally BUY Shares In Netflix

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Netflix (NFLX) is a classic bear/bull battleground stock. Depending on your mood, you can be convinced by the bullish or the bearish arguments. {snip} In the near-term, I think the biggest … Read more