Homebuilding At the Crossroads Of Changing Demographics

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On January 17th, NPR’s All Things Considered ran a story called “Homebuilding Is Booming, But Skilled Workers Are Scarce.” It was yet another story adding to the evidence that the tightness … Read more

Homebuilder 2013 Pricing Outlook Remains Murky Even As The “McMansion” Lives On

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, December 28, 2012, Nightly Business Report interviewed Martin Connor, the CFO of luxury homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL). I am on the lookout for 2013 guidance from homebuilders, so this … Read more

On the Frontlines, the Housing Recovery Is Visible But Needlessly Slow

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Nine months ago, I wrote about Vertical Capital Income Fund as a way to participate in the bottoming of housing through an investment in mortgages. On November 28th, I checked in … Read more

Post-Earnings Selling Sets Up Opportunity In Lender Processing Services

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have followed Lender Processing Services (LPS) for a little over two years. It all started soon after LPS sold off swiftly in the wake of disclosures regarding “foreclosuregate” in late … Read more

Picking Homebuilder Stocks for 2013

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} It is hard to be bearish on the U.S. economy when housing is working. Homebuilders are also the ultimate play on the U.S. economy given the minimal (direct) linkage to … Read more