Trulia’s New “Bubble Watch” Nudges California and Texas Housing Into Overvalued Territory

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} In Bubble Watch, Trulia Chief Economist Jed Kolko, Ph.D. explains that housing is not back in bubble territory based on incomes (which determine how much people can pay), rents (which … Read more

TRI Pointe Homes Versus Whirlpool: A Disconnect In Response to Bullish Housing-Related Reports

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) reported very strong earnings for the second quarter of 2013. {snip} Year-over-year results were strong, and TPH raised guidance for the year. {snip} Based on strong demand, … Read more

M.D.C Holdings Earnings Provide More Insight on Housing Market But Fail to Impress

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In November of last year, I identified M.D.C Holdings, Inc (MDC) as my second favorite pick for homebuilders for 2013. The main attraction was the sharp drop in short interest in … Read more

Homebuilder Price Performance Diverges in 2013 As Shorts Continue An Uneven Retreat

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In late November, 2012, I made a list of my homebuilder picks for 2013. I combined valuation, price changes, and short interest to build the list. Almost 6 months later, it … Read more