Poor Canadian Employment Numbers Bring Real Estate Back In Focus

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This decline in USD/CAD abruptly ended today with a very poor Canadian employment report that was well below expectations. The unemployment rate ticked up from 7.0 to 7.2% as the … Read more

A Weakening Canadian Economy Needs A Weaker Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Feb 24, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com {snip} In 2012, the yield curve for Canadian government bonds flashed a major warning signal. In particular, the gap between 2-year and 5-year bond yields fell dramatically from … Read more

Commodity Currencies Already Reverse QE3 Gains

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I am still working on a revision for the commodity crash playbook to take into account the new QE3 regime, but the trading action is already moving faster than I can … Read more

The Dollar’s Tumble Accompanies A Host of Critical Currency and Commodity Trades

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 1, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Thanks largely to the surging euro, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) took one of its nastiest one-day tumbles since last October, falling 1.3%. I believe this drop all but confirms staunch … Read more

Chart Review: Canada Index Fund ETF Printing A Major Topping Pattern

Last year I made the case for investing in Canada in 2012 (see “Buying Canadian On Expectations For Stronger Growth“). I have only made one move since then (buying Encana Corporation (ECA) on weakness in natural gas prices) as I continue to wait for discount prices. I thought just such an opportunity had arrived in … Read more