Dan Loeb Exit Redux Caps A Rough Eight Days for Herbalife that Bears Well-Anticipated

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 26, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been eight months since I exited my long position in Herbalife (HLF), but the story continues to fascinate me. This time around, bad news came in rapid sequence for … Read more

T2108 Update (March 21, 2014) – More Topping Signs

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Over-Reaction to Yellen Rate “Guidance” Helps Drive Fresh Breakout for the U.S. Dollar Against the Canadian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 20, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This is from Janet Yellen’s first Federal Reserve press conference as Fed Chair (starting around the 37:00 mark). Yellen answered a question from a reporter from Reuters on when rates … Read more

T2108 Update (March 19, 2014) – Overbought Conditions End…Yet Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Reviews: Twitter Retest and Verisign Plunge Recovery

It took a while, but Twitter (TWTR) finally retested suport just over $50. It was something I wrote about shortly after TWTR rebounded sharply from its post-earnings gap down. Note the pinpoint accuracy of the retest that you just cannot make up. Whether TWTR ultimately survives this retest is probably largely dependent on the sentiment … Read more