Groupon Headed for Post-IPO Lows

In mid-February, I posted Groupon (GRPN) as a bearish post-earnings play (see “Groupon Loses Gains From Facebook IPO Hype And Put Options Soar“). At the time, I claimed that the stock would linger around its $20 IPO price for a while after the immediate post-earnings selling. Sure enough, GRPN hung around $20 for another two … Read more

Google Puts Remain An Attractive Short-Term Bearish Play

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 18, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 10, I rushed to create a short-term bearish setup on Google (GOOG) based on the sudden surge in volatility. I concluded that if the volatility gains anticipated stock losses … Read more

Groupon Loses Gains from Facebook IPO Hype and Put Options Soar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 13, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When Facebook filed its IPO papers with the SEC on February 1, the news lit a rocket under almost all things internet. Stocks across the industry got revalued just because Facebook … Read more

T2108 Update – February 13, 2012 (So much for volatility)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 84% (overbought day #29) … Read more

Trading Momentum Quickly Shifts Back to the Bulls, But…

With tongue reaching for the cheek last week, I declared the market both extremely undervalued and very overvalued, guessing that “as earnings season grinds on, I suspect the near-predictable pattern of post-earnings fades will finally wear thin, giving way to more bullish behavior.” I did not expect the turn to happen so clearly and dramatically … Read more