T2108 Update (May 29, 2013) – Tremors Before A Larger Corrective Phase

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (May 10, 2012) – Still Clinging to the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 35% VIX Status: 19.9% … Read more

Smart Vs. Dumb Money Is Not A Useful Trading Paradigm

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Wednesday, May 9th, CNBC ran a story with the following headline: “Stocks Trim Losses Yet Again: Is the Morning ‘Amateur Hour’?.” {snip}… the article concluded that anyone trading against the … Read more

T2108 Update – August 5, 2011 (Review of strategies for trading oversold markets)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 11% (Day #2 of the current oversold period). VIX Status: 32. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close most … Read more

T2108 Update – July 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary The S&P 500 closed the week with a … Read more

Buyers Push Overbought Indicator to New 3-Month Highs – But Does It Matter?

T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), has finally moved higher. For much of 2011, T2108 has lingered just above or just below the overbought threshold of 70% (see my new T2108 resource page). It is now at 74.6%. The last time T2108 was this high was 3 months … Read more