Dollar Headed for Critical Support Again

I did not think the dollar would test the critical multi-year support line this soon. I thought the prospects for an economic recovery that is looking stronger than in competing developed economies would be sufficient to give the dollar a helping hand up despite the Federal Reserve’s best attempts to keep grinding the currency into … Read more

Silver and Gold Continue to Cool Off

The “cooling off” of silver and gold has unfolded very slowly over several months. On Thursday, this process entered yet another phase. This time, silver made a clean and strong break below its 50-day moving average (DMA). Silver even made its first lower low since the latest rally began in late summer. Gold has spent … Read more

Gold and Silver Break 4-Month Old Primary Uptrends

The cooling process for gold and silver has moved slowly and deliberately. The first step featured a fight through parabolic upswings, especially for silver. The next step finally seems underway with the first break of primary (short-term) uptrends. Gold closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since August. Silver closed below … Read more

Still Waiting for the Next Move in Gold and Silver

Last week, I mentioned that I had not yet decided on my re-entry strategy for gold and silver. I remain in neutral as gold, silver, and the dollar index churn in various holding patterns (using GLD and SLV as proxies for gold and silver respectively). GLD is right where it was two months ago. SLV … Read more

Synchronous Highs: Gold, Silver, and the S&P 500

The week ended with the S&P 500, SLV (a silver ETF), and GLD (a gold ETF) all approaching former 52-week highs. The U.S. dollar dropped 1.3% on Friday, decisively failing at resistance at its 200-day moving average (DMA) and putting an exclamation point on the week’s action. The S&P 500 broke through its last battle … Read more