ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
I finally took some time to further formalize the Apple Trading Model (ATM). To-date, I have described this in extensive detail showing Apple’s (AAPL) daily trading patterns and post-earnings trading patterns. I took these lessons (updated periodically in other posts) and created a very simple dataset as a foundation for running a regression tree (a … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) While all eyes are trained on U.S. economic data this week, Australians are looking ahead to Monday, February 4th when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) makes its next statement on … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Thursday, January 10th, China reported export growth much larger than forecasters expected. {snip} This surge helped push the Australian dollar (FXA) far enough to finally break a long-standing downtrend against … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The rally from oversold conditions in the S&P 500 (SPY) from the November lows has now nearly recovered post-election losses. On the way up, we got to see whether Black Friday … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The day after Thanksgiving, affectionately known as Black Friday, is an odd day of trading. For whatever reason, the exchanges open for business for part of the day even as most people … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In early, July I quantified the very unique tendency of the S&P 500 (SPY) to deliver strongly positive returns in the three months (between July-end and October-end) before a Presidential election … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “If Amazon were an ordinary company, investors would long ago have strapped its management to a rocket ship and sent it far, far away.” From “Amazon and Its Admirers Shrug Off … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) While expectations generally remain extremely bullish for Apple (AAPL) – {snip} – the short-term price action going into earnings does not reflect that bullishness. Since last printing all-time closing highs just … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) This week, the S&P 500 (SPY) has broken down, providing an early warning that QE3 is not working as expected. The S&P 500 is resting precariously at support formed by the … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) reported earnings in July, the stock fell 21.6%. This loss was CMG’s biggest in its almost seven years as a publicly traded company. The stock sold … Read more